Monday, June 28, 2010

Sunday, June 27, 2010


The Paroli earnings progression over a number of steps is the opposite of the Martingale loss progression. In the Martingale is doubled after the loss rate on a simple chance (eg red) in each case the application. One starts eg with € 10 to enter and it is 10 x black of the Martingale player would put as follows: 10 - 20 - 40 - 80 - 160-320 - 640 - 1280 to 2560 and 5120 €. Until then, have been risked € 10 230, only to relatively paltry € 10 to win. Much risk to just about 1 per thousand profit, if you have won at all in the tenth bracket.

Why not better to play the opposite principle do? Small missions and such in case of winning over several times and hope for further gains in series. Leaving aside the use and profit are, it's called stand up. It offers a casino, so to speak Paroli and gets the profits in good fortune with the money of the bank. If one were to make the fullest use Parolisätze eg up to the tenth stage and has to create the rare good fortune to 10 Plus results in a row, a five-digit profit would have been achieved. And with only € 10 to enter. The rest of the capitalization funds the casino. It has a certain sense, the bank forced to play against the player, the Martingale progression.

Of course, it will create, no one in the very first attempt to double its 10-to 10.Stufe. It will take many futile attempts, and will be frustrated if the accumulated intercompany go after four to seven steps completely lost. To protect the nerve you will bet on shorter Parolifolgen, for example up to the third or fourth stage. Or one thinks about Teilparoli strategies with intermittent skimming. No matter how we end up making it appear at the end of all forms of profit progression more sense than the more dangerous Martingale progression.

In the diagram above, the Paroli depicts the 3.Verdoppelungsstufe. Far left is the basic bet (in the example of the 100 chip). In addition, the chip stack of 2, which is pictorially for 1.Spielgewinn. After the first successful Parolisatz it becomes a stack of four chips. After the repeated standing leave all previous operations and profits for a stack with 8 chips and the next stage will be from 16 chips. The successful successful so you can stand up to 3x versechszehnfachen with € 100 € on first use this 1600th This corresponds to an expected gross hits from Cheval. In that case you would put on only two adjacent numbers and guess this really need. At Cheval-hit get paid but little more, but the relation of use and profit at least similar.



Roulette basic strategy (tendency game)

The tendency has been for some time in the game system market news described above. About this basic principle, there were previously several publications, said the book Telatzky-Verlag displaced rhythms and trends should be stressed.
The following represented the main forms of trend-examples have in practice and in empirical tests such as useful proved that the tendency to play well for roulette basic strategy can be described as.
With consistent application and a trained sense of the best trend (if several attack options are available) can be longer lasting profit runs achieved, as with other roulette systems.
Interestingly in this context, the fact that some system vendors at the last time the words "you also to the tendency" to sprinkle the eighth. I'd put in another way: Make sure only to the trend.

Roulette trend 1: Series / Nose

Roulette trend: Series / NoseA common tendency to observational picture: An opportunity will appear in series. In between comes the only Gegenchance Einercoup (nose). The length of the series is arbitrary, but should ideally be in the range 3 to 6. In practice, I'll wait longer lead from one, as shown in the example. Often manages the entry, as in the example: 2 hits, then a miss or I get the plus / minus sequence + - + - + personal in perpetuity.
In both cases, part of the attack brings a piece of surplus. It is long on the Favorites page (in this case red) then move on until the picture is changing trend. This could be the case when the game begins, only 2-series and Einercoups occur after. Immediate termination if they are on the "nose" page (in this example, "S" series, such as black).

The tendency of Phoenix won the player of the Company held by Casino4all roulette "Grand Prix" , which lasted over 13 game weeks, taking it to a large extent by the tendency was playing. The basic strategy described here is only a general basis, which is still a lot more. In addition I am counting a flexible response to the amount of use during the permanence of personal. This only works with a lot of experience you can train yourself to.

Roulettepermanenz at Casino4all

The permanent display at Casino4all is a bit strange. In the German runs casinos displayed vertically, the permanence, and 12-20 numbers are shown. Who in Valkenburg Holland Casino or another once was, is horizontal Permanenzanzeigen know.
In casino4all figures were each the last 17 thrown displayed with the scale from right to left shifts. The latest coup is thus left to see each. The screenshot above shows a trend phase, the tendency of a player named "roulado" was actually recorded by (23.08. Until 13:42 clock). The black / red sequence corresponds to a hybrid of the above series, nose-trend and a classic exchange coup-trend, which is described further below. As the Zweierserien on the black side were limited to intermittent-rates were not made, but it became easier for the chance superposition Black played with.
Had it in the above, however, occasional Permanenzabschnitt Zweierserien, both on red, even on black and given as otherwise, only the one-coup, we would have this tendency to change course have to adjust the game with.

Roulette trend 2: alternating tendency

Roulette trend: change one and ZweierserieThis tendency image may appear very long lasting. Coups single and two-series are the most common manifestations and thus logically occur more frequently in compound on it. As long as one between the coup-or 2-series Intermittenzcoups only occur as the trend image is intact. This phase is set to change the chance. As long as the trend image by 3-or long series is interrupted one not, stays the course of their own plus / minus result in the worst case - + - + - + etc., in the favorable case result sequence looks rather like this: + / - + + - + + - etc.
The legendary million winner Thomas Garcia recorded only the trend of progression, and won with his so spectacular and long lasting, that the casino in Bad Homburg from ruin was near. Garcia-playing techniques refined over soon I'll post some more.

Roulette trend 3: serial changes

Roulette tendency Series grapesSome players prefer this trend trend pattern, which only appear in series. Following three to four series of length 3 or greater (which leads 2-series can occur in between) you set each to the previously published opportunity. It is not certain favors a chance, but we adapt to the trend that almost all serial or. Result of coups occur. In practice I tend occupation of this image is only rare because I almost always with a tendency to phase 1 or 2 images found tables. Only if the change-room trend, the series tends picture clearly confirmed, I will start an effective game after Phase 3 Makes me uncomfortable while the permanent game against the isolated One, the other is the phase consciously factored in, but here the attack will stop. At my casino tour last year (105 visits to 29 different casinos, including Monte Carlo, Baden Baden, Dortmund-Hohensyburg etc.), I got the impression that the serial changes were apparently more unstable than the trends 1 and 2 .

Roulette tendency 4: "chaos" phase - No Charge!

Roulette Chaos - No noticeable trendIf none of the above phases occur in pure form, created unstable tendencies to which we are unable to adapt properly. Almost every player is such a tendency "mixed phase" losses make, as the above basic trends demonstrated a short initial stage will not go on. Who makes the mistake, recently lead a supposed tendency to follow too, is this chaos phase in a series of false starts do. The permanence of the player's personal nose will be long minus-series with occasional Plus "occur". A feature of this phase of instability is the occurrence of larger series of three on both sides with a chance in between scattered isolated Einercoups. There is no clear favorite, but not a predictable tendency to recognize patterns. If the "hall-trend" of a casino is so unstable, I start the actual game at a later date. Only when the phases are clearly visible up to three times a, and the trend is the most stable recorded.
Who is already on the smallest shapes and patterns oriented (eg at the Alyett'schen figures) and after just 4-6 lead coups attacks, with no tendency to observe the parent is often safe in costly chaos-phase fall, as the consistent tendency player.

Roulette contra Lotto 6 / 49

Roulette contra Lotto 6 / 49

(SYSTEM MARKET NEWS extra 2 / 1997) Roulette and Lotto in comparison, examples


One of the most obvious weaknesses of the Lotto game is the fact that generally only half the game proceeds will be distributed as profit!

What a difference the other hand, Roulette, where the Bank% of all sales are satisfied with 2.7, so 97.3% of all transacted bets go to the dividend (for players on even chances are even 98.65%). What else would have high chances of winning gambling to offer a way? Although the roulette game - compared to most other countries - here is a popular means (we have nearly 40 state-licensed casinos in Germany [cited 1997]), many times, the lottery is a popular than this "elitist" Casino game. Obviously it will take care the least that the chances of winning the lottery are much lower than in roulette. For this judge to be able to, it requires a certain mathematical education, few have known.

According to a calculation of the Federal Statistical Office, it is four times more likely to be killed by the lightning, the lottery than to have 6 correct. It is even 2600mal more likely to suffer the road-as to land the jackpot. 60.6% of our population still play occasionally or regularly Lotto, but only 4.7% occasionally or more oftenroulette. So widespread within the population of the suspicion, even at roulettecould be manipulated (40%), so it surprised the other, but that 55% of respondents not exclude at least that one can develop systems that help you in roulette with security could win.

But what are the odds of the roulette objective?
Mathematicians have only one answer: "The longer one plays, the more certain he will use every 2.7% of it lose. But who knows, that one-Lotto on long term with 48.34% loss of its operations must anticipate Saturday's?
So we ask whether and how high profits in roulette, at least theoretically possible - are. The maximum limits on a 5-Mark-table amount respectively to an amount of profit the bank in case of a payoff of max. 7000 marks forces. Consequently, the maximum is 200 and here for a number of simple chances (EC) 7000 Mark. For the 10-table subject to the double sums.

With 5 Mark can Plein than the 35-fold gain. EC only to the simple. Or? If you think just comes to the possibility of "Paroligewinne make", ie mainly with the money of the bank "playing. But for that it must come to EC to longer series. After all pieces is a 5-Series to RED with Paroli net effect is already 31 plus. But how often does a series of 5 are to RED? In my lexicon is on page 563 under "sociable" more accurate information: average every 71.5 coups once. If one payment to each hit a piece of it, then brings the series even gross 62 songs, while we only need to use pieces 71.5 average.

But what if we take on huge long series unpredictable? A 12 series comes on predetermined EC 11 000 Coups, although only every once before, so in diameter once per table per month. But they could already meet tomorrow. What's going get?

Although we already after 10 to the maximum responses come to stay over 4428 pieces! Unless we impose the excess payment amounts then the other opportunities to Plein then, are almost 5500 pieces, DM to reach 27 500 or so on 10-table twice.to meet this series has a probability of W = 0.00091, or approximately equal to 4 winning Lotto. There, however, there are only 112.60 Intersection DM, because with over 4300 other players must share the profits.

The fact that so many people still play Lotto each week, so it can on the dubious advantage of low operational ceiling are only spread hope to achieve an extraordinarily high income, and the simplicity of the rules. The above-mentioned drawbacks of the lottery to the roulette not want to admit, most obviously - or they are simply displaced. V.Haller Kurt



Roulette & Lotto

Why all this comparison? This brings us to but no further step to think some system players.
Sure, the final such comparisons do not succeed in solving problems through. If it is indeed possible, but mathematical likelihood of a quad lotto lotto payment of the par-five-piece to get to the which is already a strong argument against all roulette skeptics. This argument should those lottery players can go through the head to which the crow bar (expensive full-time or VEW systems) to enforce the luck. They fight constantly against a 50% downside to strength.
Of course, should one small bets on lottery play. Otherwise, do you get around the Minimalchance, large lot to drag the whole. Once there, however, for higher stakes and systematic game with "broadened set way" goes, money is deteriorating, the risk / extremely . The friction loss, with increasing Width of columns is always more to watch the roulette has deteriorated dramatically the chances of relationship, the more expensive combinations are played.

Max Woitschach, mathematics professor and expert in the field of game theory, wrote (including the books "strategy of the game", "probability and random" and "Can random count of?"), Describes this effect as follows: "The greater the number of operations, the greater number is still the law of large advantage. In other words: the very system players with their massed missions can get a lot more than other players to feel that the lottery is on average only 50% of its operations as a profit again recovered.
With a growing number of missions so loses the lottery and the nature of gambling is becoming a predictable events on the basis of probability theory and the rules of the game. "(Quote from:" probability and chance ")

Saturday, June 26, 2010

THE STATISTICAL ECART PART 2

THE STATISTICAL ECART PART 2

In the BASICS-section of our website we have published several articles explaining the statistical laws which are governing the game of roulette.

Two dominating principles tower above these natural laws:
the law of deviation (ecart) and the law of balance ( equilibrium).
These two laws together form the central order system of each roulette-permanence.
Deviation and balance each claim their place in every permanence.

The law of deviation is derived from the law of balance.
You can check these two laws in each permanence, at each roulette table in each Casino:
deviation and balance next to each other are ordinary.

Here we want to discuss the deviation of the six even money chances:

BLACK / RED EVEN / ODD HIGH / LOW.

If you look for example at the 1999 results of Roulette-Table No. 1 of the Spielbank Baden Baden, Germany:

Roulette Systems

The table produced a total of 97,323 real spins including 2,689 zeroes.
Now let`s look at Black and Red:
47,212 Black numbers
47,415 Red numbers

Here after one year of table operation and almost 100,000 spins Red is ahead 203 spins. This is the absolute deviation or absolute Ecart.
The relative deviation or the relative Ecart is 0,214% !

Now let`s look at the development during 1999:

Roulette Systems

In January Red started ahead with 15 spins.
The highest deviation in the first six month was in February with + 114 Red numbers.
Sometime in the month of July the Black numbers did catch up and
there was a balance; by end of July Red was now behind with
73 spins. The highest deviation was in September: -270 Red numbers.
But within the last quarter of 1999 the Red numbers could recover
and in December after reaching a balance between Black and Red, came out
ahead with +203 spins.

The following diagram shows the development in a graphic form.

Roulette Systems

The absolute deviation or the absolute Ecart of the even money chances
which is becoming obvious in this investigation is more or less
useless for the roulette player, however a lot of people are searching
in this misleading direction.
Of much more interest is the statistical or relative Ecart of appearances
of the even money chances and its strength during much shorter permanence sections.
We will look closer into this fact in one of the next additions to our BASICS section.

The next table shows for your own investigations the development of
EVEN / ODD and HIGH / LOW numbers during 1999.

Roulette Systems

TO BE CONTINUED

The Law of Third Part 2

The Law of Third Part 2

In part 1 of our discussion we have explained the basics of the law of third.

In part 2 we want to execute an experiment for the examination of this law.

Each month since June 2000, we have published a complete week
of the authentic spin history of Table No. 1 of the Casino "Spielbank Hamburg"
in the SPINS section of our homepage.
We have used these published spins here.
You can crosscheck the spins with our SPINS section or check with Spielbank Hamburg.
In our experiment we have examined 37 rotations ( rotation meaning a complete cycle of 37 consecutive spins of a specific roulette wheel) , in each case beginning with the first spin of the day.
(results for a double zero wheel with 38 numbers would be slightly different, of course)

The following table shows these 37 rotations in chronological order.

In the left column of the table are the dates of the rotations beginning with 2000-12-01 and ending with 2001-05-02.
The spin run follows the horizontal lines.
In the far right column the frequency of the different come numbers is shown.
This frequency ranges from 19 to 27 different numbers per rotation.
The average is 23.5 numbers per rotation.

Roulette Systems

The bottomline of the above table shows a very interesting phenomenon:
the Law of Third is also valid if we read the table spin by spin, from top to bottom, e.g. if we check for the frequency of the come numbers for the first spin of the day, for the second spin of the day etc. .
The frequency and the deviations are the same as in the actual spin runs.
The frequency ranges from 20 to 29 different numbers and the average is 23.7 numbers per "cross rotation".
In a later article we will further discuss this phenomenon, that will lead us
to the concept of the "personal permanence".
In our introduction we have stated that roulette is pure statistics! We think that the Law of Third is some proof for this statement. You can take any rotation out of a permanence and you will get the same results all over again. You can take every second or third spin and after 37 second or third spins you will still get the same results.

The table below is very much selfexplanatory:
we have listed here how often every number came out per rotation.
The deviation ranges from low 27 to high 46 appearances, whereas 37 would be "standard".

Roulette Systems

TO BE CONTINUED !

METHODE GRILLEAU

METHODE GRILLEAU

In our March addition to the BASICS section we were announcing two approaches to attack the wheel utilizing the law of third - respective the frequency of single numbers - for straight up bets.

Both ideas have been developed by well known roulette researchers in France. One by Marigny de Grilleau, the other one by Billedivoire.

We think both ideas are worth looking into. These ideas might be useful for your own investigations if you are interested in straight up bets. They work both against single zero and double zero wheels.
In this article we will introduce you with the

Methode Grilleau

Marigny de Grilleau found that the following strategy gave him the best results:

We need approx. 37/38 spins of the wheel before we can start the attack. Fortunately most of the modern roulette tables have boards that show the spin run for the last 20 to 25 spins. So we use this spin history.

Each number, which appeared three times in 37/38 spins must be pursued immediately after its third appearance over the next 37/38 spins, because we expect its fourth or still higher appearance.

If it does not appear in the next 37/38 spins, the attack on that number is discontinued. If the Number hits within 37/38 spins, the attack is discontinued also.

Grilleau recommends to follow not more than six numbers simultaneously. In order not to exceed this number, we give up the number that appeared first and add the newest - the seventh in this case - to the remaining five.

It is essential to keep a good record of the spins. Below is a possible record sheet for this method with a session from 05-01-2001 Spielbank Hamburg, Table No. 1 .
At the end of this page is a link to download a zipped Excel-file with this record sheet!

The first column carries the 37/38 numbers of the wheel.
The next five columns are for counting of the come numbers.
The left columns headed 1R, 2R, etc. are for the spin record from top to bottom whereby the R stands for Rotation ( a spin run of 37/38 consecutive numbers).
The columns headed #1, #2 etc. are for the selected betting numbers plus the placed bets.
The right columns headed 1R, 2R etc. are for the total balance of the session according to the rotations.

05-01-2001

No. 17 ( the blue cell) is the first number to appear 3 times in rotation 1. We now bet 1 unit on every spin until we have a hit within the next 37/38 spins. We note the bets for # 17 in its respective column and carry over the balance to the right column 1R.
The next number to appear 3 times is the 13 (also marked blue). We again bet one unit until we have hit within the next 37/38 spins. We note the bets for # 13 respectively.

Just follow the spin run and everything will fall into place after some studying. Selected numbers are marked blue and hits are marked green. The session is terminated after the hit on # 22 with a positive balance of 109 units.

The following day, 05-02-2001, also Spielbank Hamburg, Table No. 1 is a little bit slower, still the session is terminated after 2 rotations with a positive result of 63 units. The red cells are repeats outside of a rotation, so they are unusable.

05-02-2001

Grilleau`s recommendation is to play this method with a bankroll of 500 units and a profit expectation of 40 to 60 units per session. This is against straight numbers and you definitely need a big session bankroll plus a reserve!

He also recommends to play this strategy with a two man team: one for keeping the record and one to place the bets, however we think solo play is quite possible. He also recommends some kind of progression: after the loss of 100 units the betsize is doubled, after the loss of 200 units the betsize is tripled and after the loss of 300 units (which he says is very seldom) we bet four times the original betsize.

Go ahead and do some experiments with this strategy !