Playing a Biased Wheel
If you have about one hundred hours to spare you might be able to win a great deal of money at Roulette. Why one hundred hours? Because that is how long it would take the average player to record the necessary four thousand spins on a single wheel to determine if, and that is a big “if”, it is a truly “biased” wheel.
Basically, a biased wheel is any Roulette wheel that turns up a number against the odds. For example, if a player wanted to see if a wheel was biased they could record the outcome of approximately one thousand spins on the wheel (in order to save time), and make note of every number that appeared more often than the standard one to thirty seven ratio.
Roulette is built on the mathematical theory that each number will appear an average of one time for every thirty seven spins. So, if a player records the appearance of red seventeen (James Bond’s preferred number) one out of every twenty five spins, then that player may have found a biased wheel.
Why is that they “may” have found a biased wheel? Because mathematical and scientific theory states “the more data collected the better the theory”. This is the reason most biased wheels require the documentation of approximately four thousand spins to detect. The true difficulty in the situation comes when the one hundred hours comes and goes, and no bias has been detected!
Have players successfully detected and profited from biased wheels? Absolutely! The rigorous use of casino equipment makes it nearly impossible for a Roulette wheel to continue in operation without sustaining some sort of wear pattern that could eventually make it become a biased wheel. Add to that the high cost of replacing the expensive and well made wheels and there is further evidence of the opportunity for biased performance in a wheel.
Some players even think that a biased wheel may come from a human hand as well. Long time dealers or “croupiers” may develop a pattern to their spinning and some players have tracked biased wheel patterns from older and experienced dealer’s physical actions.
Famous instances of the use of biased wheels for great profit involve teamwork and modern technology. The first well-known instance of the successful use of biased wheels took place in the early 1800s when Joseph Jaggers and a team of six other players observed and “clocked” all of the Roulette wheels of Monte Carlo (a much easier feat at that time). They then assessed their information and took home a total of over three hundred thousand dollars.
The other well known instance of biased wheels leading to huge profit came during the 1990s in Madrid. Gonzalo Garcia-Pelayo spent hundreds of hours clocking and documenting the wheels at a single casino in the city. He entered his data into a computer which generated the winning tables for him. He and his family then spent the next few years accumulating over a million “Euros” in winnings before being found out. This led to legal action, but since Mr. Garcia-Pelayo was not cheating in any identifiable way he was cleared of any charges.
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