THE STATISTICAL ECART PART 2

THE STATISTICAL ECART PART 2

In the BASICS-section of our website we have published several articles explaining the statistical laws which are governing the game of roulette.

Two dominating principles tower above these natural laws:
the law of deviation (ecart) and the law of balance ( equilibrium).
These two laws together form the central order system of each roulette-permanence.
Deviation and balance each claim their place in every permanence.

The law of deviation is derived from the law of balance.
You can check these two laws in each permanence, at each roulette table in each Casino:
deviation and balance next to each other are ordinary.

Here we want to discuss the deviation of the six even money chances:

BLACK / RED EVEN / ODD HIGH / LOW.

If you look for example at the 1999 results of Roulette-Table No. 1 of the Spielbank Baden Baden, Germany:



The table produced a total of 97,323 real spins including 2,689 zeroes.
Now let`s look at Black and Red:
47,212 Black numbers
47,415 Red numbers

Here after one year of table operation and almost 100,000 spins Red is ahead 203 spins. This is the absolute deviation or absolute Ecart.
The relative deviation or the relative Ecart is 0,214% !

Now let`s look at the development during 1999:



In January Red started ahead with 15 spins.
The highest deviation in the first six month was in February with + 114 Red numbers.
Sometime in the month of July the Black numbers did catch up and
there was a balance; by end of July Red was now behind with
73 spins. The highest deviation was in September: -270 Red numbers.
But within the last quarter of 1999 the Red numbers could recover
and in December after reaching a balance between Black and Red, came out
ahead with +203 spins.

The following diagram shows the development in a graphic form.



The absolute deviation or the absolute Ecart of the even money chances
which is becoming obvious in this investigation is more or less
useless for the roulette player, however a lot of people are searching
in this misleading direction.
Of much more interest is the statistical or relative Ecart of appearances
of the even money chances and its strength during much shorter permanence sections.
We will look closer into this fact in one of the next additions to our BASICS section.

The next table shows for your own investigations the development of
EVEN / ODD and HIGH / LOW numbers during 1999.

TO BE CONTINUED